Press Release Details
Fitch Affirms SL Green's IDR at 'BBB-'; Outlook Stable
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmation of the ratings and Outlook reflects SLG's credit
strengths, including its high-quality
APPROPRIATE LEVERAGE
SLG's leverage ratio is consistent with a 'BBB-' rating for a REIT
owning primarily Midtown Manhattan office assets, as the company's
leverage ratio (excluding the effects of consolidating
EXCLUSION OF 388-390
The rationale for excluding the consolidating effects of this asset is
due to Citibank having the option to acquire this property from SLG as
early as
APPROPRIATE FIXED-CHARGE COVERAGE
SLG's fixed-charge coverage ratio was 2.1x for the 12 months ended
LOW UNENCUMBERED ASSET COVERAGE OF DEBT
The ratings are hindered by SLG's unencumbered asset value coverage of unsecured debt (UA/UD). Consolidated unencumbered asset coverage of net unsecured debt (calculated as annualized 2Q 2015 unencumbered property net operating income divided by a stressed 7% capitalization rate) results in coverage of 1.6x, down from 2.1x as of year-end 2012. This ratio is weaker when compared to similarly-rated companies, particularly given that the stressed capitalization rate applied to SLG's NOI is the lowest across Fitch's rated universe. However, when considering that Midtown Manhattan assets are highly sought after by secured lenders and foreign investors, the results are a stronger contingent liquidity relative to most asset classes in other markets. Fitch expects this ratio will improve modestly as the company unencumbers additional assets with relatively high debt yields; however, should this ratio sustain below 2.0x, this could have a negative impact on SLG's rating or outlook.
STRONG MANAGEMENT TEAM
The ratings also consider the strength of SLG's management team given
their knowledge of the
MIDTOWN LEASING CONCERNS
Offsetting these strengths are Fitch's concerns regarding the uncertain
Midtown Manhattan leasing environment. While the
LOW LIQUIDITY COVERAGE
SLG has weak liquidity. For the period from
SLG's liquidity is strengthened by its conservative common dividend policy, which enables it to retain substantial operating cash flow. Fitch expects the company's projected AFFO payout ratio to center around 45%, which is low relative to the broader equity REIT universe. The lower payout ratio should provide the company with additional financial flexibility, which is of high importance given it will need to fund significant capital costs related to recently-signed renewal leases for Viacom and Citibank, and projected growth redevelopment portfolio costs prior to year-end 2016.
ONE VANDERBILT DEVELOPMENT SPEND LOOMING
SLG has obtained the approvals necessary to commence its ground-up
development project at
STRONG, ALBEIT RELATIVELY CONCENTRATED TENANT BASE
SLG's portfolio has a modest degree of tenant concentration, with the top 10 tenants representing 33.4% of annual base rent. This compares to the contribution from the top 20 tenants of Boston Properties and Vornado Realty of 30% and 27.8%, respectively. Despite the concentration, the largest tenant Citigroup, Inc. ('A' IDR with a Stable Outlook by Fitch) comprises 10.5% of SLG's share of annual cash rent, and all three of SLG's Fitch-rated top 10 tenants have strong investment grade ratings.
MANAGEABLE LEASE EXPIRATION PROFILE
SLG has a manageable lease expiration schedule with only an average of
5.2% of consolidated
LADDERED DEBT MATURITIES
Further supporting the ratings is SLG's manageable debt maturity
schedule. Over the next five years, 2017 is the largest year of debt
maturities with 17.5% of pro rata debt expiring, with no other year
greater than 10.4%. The 2017 maturities are primarily comprised of
RECKSON'S IDR LINKED TO SLG'S
Consistent with Fitch's criteria, 'Parent and Subsidiary Rating Linkage'
dated
JUNIOR SUBORDINATED NOTES NOTCHING
The one-notch differential between SLG's IDR and junior subordinated
notes (trust preferred securities) is consistent with Fitch's criteria
for corporate entities with an IDR of 'BBB-'. Based on
REIT Credit Analysis', available on Fitch's Web site at www.fitchratings.com, these securities are senior to SLG's perpetual preferred stock but subordinate to SLG's corporate debt. Holders of such notes have the ability to demand full repayment of principal and interest in the event of unpaid interest.
PREFERRED STOCK NOTCHING
The two-notch differential between SLG's IDR and preferred stock rating
is consistent with Fitch's criteria for corporate entities with an IDR
of 'BBB-'. Based on
STABLE OUTLOOK
The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation that SLG will maintain a strategy and leverage and coverage metrics consistent with the rating. While these quantitative metrics are nominally weaker than most REIT issuers with investment-grade ratings, the Outlook considers that Midtown Manhattan office assets consistently trade at lower capitalization rates and are more liquid and financeable in economic downturns than typical office assets, bolstering the contingent liquidity of the company's portfolio.
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch's key assumptions within the rating case for SLG include:
--Annual same-store NOI increases of between 1.0% - 3.0% for 2015-2017;
--The
--
--
--Projected annual recurring capital expenditures of
--2015-2017 secured maturities are refinanced dollar-for-dollar;
--Annual unsecured bond issuances between
--Common equity issuances of
RATING SENSITIVITIES
The following factors may have a positive impact on SLG's ratings and/or Outlook:
--Fitch's expectation of leverage sustaining below 7x (leverage was 7.9x
for TTM ended
--Fitch's expectation of fixed-charge coverage sustaining above 2.25x
(coverage was 2.1x for TTM ended
--Growth in the size of the unencumbered pool.
The following factors may have a negative impact on SLG's ratings and/or Outlook:
--Fitch's expectation of UA/UD sustaining below 2.0x;
--Fitch's expectation of leverage sustaining above 8x;
--Fitch's expectation of fixed-charge coverage sustaining below 1.5x;
--A sustained liquidity shortfall (base case liquidity coverage was 0.9x
for the period
FULL LIST OF RATING ACTIONS
Fitch has affirmed the following ratings:
--IDR at 'BBB-';
--Senior unsecured notes at 'BBB-';
--Perpetual preferred stock at 'BB'.
--IDR at 'BBB'-;
--Unsecured line of credit at 'BBB-';
--Senior unsecured notes at 'BBB-';
--Exchangeable senior notes at 'BBB-';
--Junior subordinated notes at 'BB+'.
--IDR at 'BBB-';
--Senior unsecured notes at 'BBB-'.
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
Applicable Criteria
Corporate Rating Methodology - Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent
and Subsidiary Linkage (pub.
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=869362
Recovery Ratings and Notching Criteria for Equity REITs (pub.
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=813628
Treatment and Notching of Hybrids in Non-Financial Corporate and REIT
Credit Analysis (pub.
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=821568
Additional Disclosures
Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr_id=992439
Solicitation Status
https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=992439
Endorsement Policy
https://www.fitchratings.com/jsp/creditdesk/PolicyRegulation.faces?context=2&detail=31
ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.
View source version on businesswire.com: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20151016005816/en/
Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Director
+1-212-908-9153
or
Secondary
Analyst
Managing Director
+1-212-908-9161
or
Committee
Chairperson
Managing Director
+1-212-908-0282
or
Media
Relations:
Email: sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com
Source: Fitch Ratings
News Provided by Acquire Media